CFB War Room: Intro & Thursday night slate analysis

I am Joel, aka DraftMasterFlex. Multiple six figure DFS wins and a weekly PGA pod (King of the Draft) and CFB pod.

Inside the CFB War Room you get the Slate Map, a betting card, and DFS strategy with stacks, leverage, and how I am attacking each slate. CFB content is thinner than the NFL, which creates opportunity.

Thursday has six games with tempo spots and coaching tells. I am most interested in East Carolina at NC State and Nebraska vs Cincinnati because of total, pace, and matchup.

Edges grow as the season progresses and we collect real usage and tempo data. Markets react slower than sharp context, so we press when the data and tape line up.

East Carolina at NC State

Market: NC State -12, Total 60.5
Note: Total opened 56.5 and is now ~60.5 to 61.5 (+4 to +5).
Weather: mainly cloudy and comfortable.

East Carolina - team total 24.0
OC/Play style: OC John David Baker retained. Spread with tempo capability.
Tempo: team 2024 21.8 sec/play, rank 4
DFS targets (DK $): Katin Houser QB 9700, London Montgomery RB 5100, Anthony Smith WR 7400, Jaquaize Pettaway WR 6700, Yannick Smith WR 7200

NC State - team total 36.5
OC/Play style: OC Kurt Roper promoted. Methodical with modest pass lean.
Tempo: team 2024 29.6 sec/play, rank 131
DFS targets (DK $): CJ Bailey QB 9500, Hollywood Smothers RB 7000, Noah Rogers WR 6800, Justin Joly WR 6300, Wesley Grimes WR 4800

Jacksonville State at UCF

Market: UCF -20, Total 52.5
Weather: hot and humid. Watch for pop up storms.

Jacksonville State - team total 16.0
OC/Play style: OC Clint Trickett. Tempo quick game with QB run.
Tempo: team 2024; OC 2024 at Marshall 24.9 23.2 sec/play, rank 12
DFS targets (DK $): Gavin Wimsatt QB 7200, Cam Cook RB 5800, Caleb Coombs WR 3500

UCF - team total 36.5
OC/Play style: Scott Frost offense. Spread option and RPO.
Tempo: team 2024 24.0 sec/play, rank 24
DFS targets (DK $): Cam Fancher QB 8300, Myles Montgomery RB 6000, Jaden Nixon RB 5500, Duane Thomas Jr. WR 5800

Buffalo at Minnesota

Market: Minnesota -17, Total 44.5
Weather: pleasant evening. Light wind.

Buffalo - team total 13.5
OC/Play style: Balanced spread with RPO.
Tempo: team 2024 24.8 sec/play, rank 35
DFS targets (DK $): Ta'Quan Roberson QB 6600, Al-Jay Henderson RB 6400

Minnesota - team total 31.0
OC/Play style: Wide zone run with play action crossers.
Tempo: team 2024 29.3 sec/play, rank 124
DFS targets (DK $): Darius Taylor RB 9000, Drake Lindsey QB 6100, Logan Loya WR 5900, Javon Tracy WR 4500, Le'Meke Brockington WR 5800, Jameson Geers WR 3800

Wyoming at Akron

Market: Wyoming -6, Total 48.5
Weather: sun to clouds. Spotty showers possible earlier.

Wyoming - team total 27.5
OC/Play style: Run first with play action. Methodical.
Tempo: team 2024 27.1 sec/play, rank 87
DFS targets (DK $): Kaden Anderson QB 6800, Sam Scott RB 5200, John Michael Gyllenborg WR 6500, Terron Kellman RB 4500

Akron - team total 21.0
OC/Play style: Pass-leaning spread at mid tempo.
Tempo: team 2024 26.1 sec/play, rank 55
DFS targets (DK $): Ben Finley QB 5400, Taven Curry RB 5400, Alex Adams WR 6200

Nebraska vs Cincinnati (Kansas City)

Market: Nebraska -6, Total 53.5
Weather: cool and mostly dry. Light breeze.

Nebraska - team total 30.0
OC/Play style: OC Dana Holgorsen. Quick game and RPO layers.
Tempo: team 2024 27.7 sec/play, rank 109
DFS targets (DK $): Dylan Raiola QB 7500, Emmett Johnson RB 7500, Dane Key WR 7800, Jacory Barney Jr. WR 6400, Nyziah Hunter WR 5000, Luke Lindenmeyer WR 3400

Cincinnati - team total 23.5
OC/Play style: Zone run base with play action.
Tempo: team 2024 27.2 sec/play, rank 88
DFS targets (DK $): Brendan Sorsby QB 9300, Joe Royer WR 5600, Tawee Walker RB 5900, Cyrus Allen WR 5300, Jeff Caldwell WR 5700

Miami OH at Wisconsin

Market: Wisconsin -17, Total 39.5
Weather: mostly cloudy at night.

Miami OH - team total 11.0
OC/Play style: Balanced and methodical under Chuck Martin.
Tempo: team 2024 29.1 sec/play, rank 122
DFS targets (DK $): Dequan Finn QB 7000, Kenny Tracy RB 6200, Deion Colzie WR 4900, Brady Simmons WR 3000

Wisconsin - team total 28.5
OC/Play style: OC Jeff Grimes. Wide zone with play action.
Tempo: team 2024 26.3 sec/play, rank 63
DFS targets (DK $): Billy Edwards Jr. QB 8000, Dilin Jones RB 5700, Trech Kekahuna WR 6100, Vinny Anthony II WR 5500